Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 69.460651 78.399301 87.535253 97.538542 108.151778 119.046815 131.047030
2025-11-09 54.895784 67.631039 81.243242 96.740195 113.766972 131.790237 152.199260
2025-11-16 46.567767 61.374233 77.737263 96.884541 118.421062 141.671813 168.455658
2025-11-23 39.479478 55.560027 73.900967 95.901848 121.158052 148.881485 181.270503
2025-11-30 35.052192 52.284993 72.483899 97.217618 126.080331 158.177522 196.083200
2025-12-07 31.519845 49.692188 71.539456 98.790145 131.048096 167.321800 210.549540
2025-12-14 27.279997 45.798772 68.697320 97.828943 132.831050 172.639447 220.513151
2025-12-21 23.197160 41.716848 65.312397 95.944467 133.300270 176.258944 228.375268
2025-12-28 21.938588 41.291301 66.430257 99.482380 140.157963 187.247760 244.674212
2026-01-04 20.156339 39.969807 66.273569 101.340501 144.920111 195.730899 258.035534
2026-01-11 17.659966 37.400270 64.318094 100.802860 146.666402 200.578936 267.101311
2026-01-18 15.447461 35.035316 62.480514 100.289057 148.341525 205.265258 275.914689
2026-01-25 13.777505 33.369240 61.524175 100.883491 151.395585 211.638043 286.784997
2026-02-01 11.837601 31.072807 59.561025 100.063695 152.615692 215.762741 294.972070
2026-02-08 10.387120 29.419362 58.395772 100.211926 154.985881 221.226337 304.708253
2026-02-15 8.789749 27.312989 56.446923 99.210226 155.820971 224.767524 312.107296
2026-02-22 7.933096 26.442906 56.258033 100.551189 159.620954 231.912540 323.811334
2026-03-01 7.215204 25.749225 56.284532 102.153577 163.735830 239.432375 335.961861
2026-03-08 6.020032 23.940680 54.503159 101.174145 164.447257 242.713810 342.969662
2026-03-15 4.792752 21.834074 52.122150 99.253693 163.853774 244.320712 347.903786
2026-03-22 4.669308 22.162521 53.630149 102.858894 170.539473 255.006052 363.884865
2026-03-29 4.264649 21.779563 53.954642 104.751933 174.951479 262.847312 376.404692
2026-04-05 3.518906 20.432626 52.621430 104.204218 176.085937 266.556675 383.863808